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Invitation to a Dialogue: Ways Iraq Could Break Up
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Invitation to a Dialogue: Ways Iraq Could Break Up
Invitation to a Dialogue: Ways Iraq Could Break Up
FEB. 22, 2016
Photo
Iraqi fighters training in Basra. Credit Haidar Mohammed Ali/Agence France-Presse — Getty Images
To the Editor:
Iraq is experiencing de facto partition driven by violence, factionalism and eroding state authority. The United States cannot prevent this — only mitigate it — and buy time for key parties to adapt their policies to help Iraq have a managed breakup. Here is why.
First, ISIS will strive to recapture previously held Iraqi cities to maintain its so-called caliphate and preserve its image as leader in the global jihadist movement. Iraqi forces and Sunni tribal militias will need more robust American and coalition support — ground forces and air power — to eventually defeat ISIS.
Second, alienation of the Sunnis continues to breed deep distrust of Iraq’s Shiite-led central government. Many Sunnis view Baghdad’s corrupt policies as a greater threat than ISIS, and therefore cooperate (sometimes passively) with the extremists. To mobilize Sunnis into the fight, the United States must encourage Prime Minister Haider al-Abadi to implement reforms that provide the Sunnis more autonomy and access to government jobs. He should also equip Sunni militias with heavy weapons and appoint them guardians of their embattled communities.
Third, Iraqi Kurds, who have won autonomy and shed blood against ISIS, expect Baghdad to make revenue- and oil-sharing concessions before committing their soldiers to fighting ISIS again. This will require Mr. Abadi to make compromises that his Shiite base, Turkey and Iran will certainly oppose. Nevertheless, Washington must convince all parties that ridding Iraq of ISIS is in their common interest.
Finally, continued unrest in Basra highlights growing fissures in the Shiite community. Like the Kurds, many Shiites in southern Iraq seek an autonomous region that provides them greater control over Iraq’s extensive southern oil reserves.
Ultimately, Baghdad’s ability to equitably distribute oil profits between the Kurdish, Sunni and Shiite enclaves will determine if Iraq’s breakup will be a managed affair or one decided by bloodshed or Iranian influence.
TOM GREENWOOD
Arlington, Va.
The writer, a retired Marine colonel, commanded an expeditionary unit in Baghdad in 2005 and trained Iraqi security forces in Anbar Province in 2006.
Editors’ Note: We invite readers to respond briefly by Thursday for the Sunday Dialogue. We plan to publish responses and a rejoinder in the Sunday Review. Email: letters@nytimes.com
http://www.nytimes.com/2016/02/23/opinion/invitation-to-a-dialogue-ways-iraq-could-break-up.html
FEB. 22, 2016
Photo
Iraqi fighters training in Basra. Credit Haidar Mohammed Ali/Agence France-Presse — Getty Images
To the Editor:
Iraq is experiencing de facto partition driven by violence, factionalism and eroding state authority. The United States cannot prevent this — only mitigate it — and buy time for key parties to adapt their policies to help Iraq have a managed breakup. Here is why.
First, ISIS will strive to recapture previously held Iraqi cities to maintain its so-called caliphate and preserve its image as leader in the global jihadist movement. Iraqi forces and Sunni tribal militias will need more robust American and coalition support — ground forces and air power — to eventually defeat ISIS.
Second, alienation of the Sunnis continues to breed deep distrust of Iraq’s Shiite-led central government. Many Sunnis view Baghdad’s corrupt policies as a greater threat than ISIS, and therefore cooperate (sometimes passively) with the extremists. To mobilize Sunnis into the fight, the United States must encourage Prime Minister Haider al-Abadi to implement reforms that provide the Sunnis more autonomy and access to government jobs. He should also equip Sunni militias with heavy weapons and appoint them guardians of their embattled communities.
Third, Iraqi Kurds, who have won autonomy and shed blood against ISIS, expect Baghdad to make revenue- and oil-sharing concessions before committing their soldiers to fighting ISIS again. This will require Mr. Abadi to make compromises that his Shiite base, Turkey and Iran will certainly oppose. Nevertheless, Washington must convince all parties that ridding Iraq of ISIS is in their common interest.
Finally, continued unrest in Basra highlights growing fissures in the Shiite community. Like the Kurds, many Shiites in southern Iraq seek an autonomous region that provides them greater control over Iraq’s extensive southern oil reserves.
Ultimately, Baghdad’s ability to equitably distribute oil profits between the Kurdish, Sunni and Shiite enclaves will determine if Iraq’s breakup will be a managed affair or one decided by bloodshed or Iranian influence.
TOM GREENWOOD
Arlington, Va.
The writer, a retired Marine colonel, commanded an expeditionary unit in Baghdad in 2005 and trained Iraqi security forces in Anbar Province in 2006.
Editors’ Note: We invite readers to respond briefly by Thursday for the Sunday Dialogue. We plan to publish responses and a rejoinder in the Sunday Review. Email: letters@nytimes.com
http://www.nytimes.com/2016/02/23/opinion/invitation-to-a-dialogue-ways-iraq-could-break-up.html
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Dinar Daily :: DINAR/IRAQ -- NEWS -- GURUS and DISCUSSIONS :: IRAQ and DINAR -- ARTICLE BASED INFORMATION and DISCUSSIONS
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