5 reasons why stocks are skyrocketing

Traders work on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange on Thursday, Dec. 18, 2014. (AP Photo/Seth Wenig)
The Dow’s up more than 300 points today, its best day in 14 months, and that’s on top of a 288-point surge Wednesday. What’s driving the sudden surge on Wall Street?

The Standard & Poor’s 500-stock index is up big today, too, extending its two-day gain to 3.75%, its best two-day gain since Jan. 2, 2013.

Here are five things driving stocks higher — after a seven-day scare due to plunging oil prices and a currency crisis in Russia that briefly knocked the market down 5% from its Dec. 5 all-time high.

1. Friendly Fed. The Janet Yellen-led Federal Reserve reiterated its “lower for longer” message for interest rates yesterday. The Fed coined a new expression — “patient” — to describe the way they will pursue the transition to higher rates next year.
Make no mistake, says Alan Skrainka, chief Investment officer at Cornerstone Wealth Management, the stock market move to the upside the past two days is all about the Fed saying it will take it slow when it comes to future rate hikes.
“This (stock rally) is likely the result of increased confidence that the Fed will raise rates very gradually in light of recent events – mainly the plunge in oil prices and slowing global growth,” says Skrainka.

2. New rally, same two reasons. Today’s rally is being driven by the same two things that have been driving the bull market for years: “low rates and easy money and little in the way of alternatives to stocks” for investors looking to generate acceptable returns, says Bill Hornbarger, chief investment strategist at Moneta Group.

“I think the drivers are the same,” he says. “The improving U.S. economy and drop in energy prices,” he adds, are “aiding investor confidence to own equities.”

3. Like greed, cheaper oil, is good. Stock investors are rethinking their initial negative reaction to the plunge in crude prices, and may be refocusing on the fact that a lower price at the pump “is a huge positive for the U.S. and world economy, except for Russia and OPEC,” says  Nick Sargen, senior investment adviser at Fort Washington Investment Advisors.
“For a while the market was focused on the losers from lower oil prices rather than on the winners,” says Sargen.  “It seems like the market had a few ‘bad hair days’ and suddenly discovered everything would be OK.”

4. Stock inventory low.  Charles Biderman, CEO of TrimTabs Asset Management, a firm that tracks the cash flows in and out of the stock market and mutual funds, says the main stock market driver is simply “supply and demand.”

In the first three days of this week, he says there has been “over $30 billion of new cash takeovers of public companies and stock buybacks.” That trend results in less stock for sale on the open market.

In contrast, there has been “less than $2 billion of new stock offerings” brought to market.
Biderman says if the chaos surrounding the plunge in oil prices subsides, stocks could skyrocket even higher. The reason: There’s still an awful lot of money chasing a home.
“If (there’s) no financial collapse due to lower oil prices, stock prices could melt up given the huge amounts of cash around,” says Biderman.

5. Investors reverse “bearish” bets. Another reason for today’s massive stock market rally is investors are reversing earlier bets against the stock market, and are engaging in so-called “short covering,” says Mark Luschini, chief investment strategist at Janney Montgomery Scott.

Many investors had been shorting the market, or trying to profit when prices fall by selling borrowed shares with the hope of buying them back later at a lower price. But with the nearly 600-plus point rally in the Dow the past two sessions, that so-called shorting strategy did not work out. So those investors are buying the borrowed shares back now for fear stocks will climb even higher and result in even heavier losses.

Many portfolio managers are also buying with both hands today because they can’t afford to fall further behind their market benchmarks, such as the Standard & Poor’s 500-stock index, which many portfolio managers are measured against, Luschini adds.
“Particularly with funds that are behind their  benchmarks, which is prevalent this year, (many money managers) are having to try and play catch-up,” says Luschini.



By: Adam Shell December 18, 2014 1:56 pm


http://americasmarkets.usatoday.com/2014/12/18/5-reasons-why-stocks-are-skyrocketing/

ponee here is number 6 the market is rigged

I pretty much agree with the article. When interest rates are lower than the inflation rate and 1.5 to 2% at best, there are not a whole lot of other places to put your money. Especially with the crappy performances of precious metals and commodities in general. Yellen is keeping the rates low, because she knows if they are allowed to creep up to where they should be the markets will take a tumble and make her boss look bad.