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US  surprise move toward Iran puts Iraq's stability at risk DinarDailyUpdates?bg=330099&fg=FFFFFF&anim=1

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US surprise move toward Iran puts Iraq's stability at risk

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US  surprise move toward Iran puts Iraq's stability at risk Empty US surprise move toward Iran puts Iraq's stability at risk

Post by claud39 on Sun Dec 23, 2018 10:24 am

http://www.shafaaq.com/ar/Ar_NewsReader/90e58d65-3930-4ceb-96e2-1abc374a6477


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After years of suffering from violence and war, Iraq is gradually and cautiously entering the post-conflict phase, but there is no guarantee for lasting peace, stability or economic development. Any additional pressure on Iraq will threaten its fragile stability and plunge the fragile state into violent conflict. At a time when it needs the assistance of the international community. The recent US withdrawal from Iran's nuclear agreement and the re-imposition of sanctions against Iran could pose a threat to Iraq's stability.
US sanctions on Iran not only affect Washington's trade with Tehran, but also extend to US allies who trade with Iran. Iraq is one of those countries that entered the conflict between the two countries, The United States on the fifth of November, Iraq, a 45-day exemption from the sanctions imposed on Iran in its nuclear program, was supposed to be allocated to develop a road map, which eliminates Baghdad's full dependence on the use of electricity and Iranian gas. 
Where exemption is an unrealistic goal for Iraq to distance itself from long-standing trade relations and its separation from Iran. 
Iraq, despite being an oil-rich country, relies heavily on Iranian natural gas to power generators.
Even with Iranian natural gas, Iraq still suffers from frequent power cuts, making heat waves unbearable. 
Given the scale of corruption in the Iraqi government and its reputation for bureaucracy, Iran's natural gas is the source of Iraq's power to replace domestic energy. Although the United States is pushing Saudi Arabia to replace Iran as the main supplier to meet Iraq's energy needs, Such months require months to achieve them. 
Given that Iraq is failing to provide electricity to its population, forcing it to suspend trade with Tehran without providing a viable alternative to natural gas imports threatens to punish the Iraqi people preparing for a cold winter. 
Any further failures in the public services of Iraq would increase the pressure on the fragile stability of the country, as evidenced by recent protests in Basra due to inadequate public services.
Iraq's long-term engagement with Iran is not limited. Iran's economic, political and religious influence on Iraq has also been evident since the US-led invasion of Iraq in 2003. 
Alongside some of Iraq's main political parties supported by Iran, markets are full of Iranian products From food products such as yoghurt to clothing, and the streets are crowded with Iranian-made Saipa cars. 
These close ties with Iraq, low trade tariffs and cheap production have made Iran a vital trading partner for Iraq, a country full of economic conflicts. 
Iran's trade with Iraq is about $ 12 billion a year, and Iraqi officials still maintain their desire to maintain such ties with Iran.
Iraqi President Barham Salih said it was important for Iraq to have "good and stable relations with Iran." Given Iran's influence on key political parties, the economic relationship with Iran should not deteriorate, as there is a danger that Iran may begin to play a destabilizing role in Iraq's future. 
Regardless of the continued pressure from the United States to stop trade with Iran, Iran and Iraq seem determined to pursue open relations. 
To compensate for the lost trade following US sanctions, Iranian President Hassan Rowhani showed strong interest in doubling trade with Iraq from $ 12 billion to $ 20 billion a year. 
The mandate to invest in such a trade was highlighted by a large trade delegation from Iran at the international fair in Baghdad last month.
Iran has flooded the Iraqi market with cheap and affordable products. Most Iraqi taxis are now manufactured in Iran. 
In such an environment, Iraqis are unlikely to be willing to stop such trade with Iran, and they can not. 
Given the strong partnership between Iraq and Iran and the border between the two countries, a formal position by the government can not stop the expansion of the Iraqi-Iranian market, especially when it comes to trading the US dollar on the black market, as was the case before Iran's initial nuclear deal.
Because US sanctions affect US transactions only, Iraq and Iran have sought ways to circumvent this ban by supporting the trade of natural gas for food and humanitarian supplies, which Iran has lacked since sanctions were reinstated. With high levels of poverty in Iraq, such food and humanitarian supplies can benefit Iraqi civilians. 
Through the perceived success of the Iraqi-backed Popular Forces forces, as well as Iran's multi-media outlets on Iraqi television, Iran's support for Iraq remains strong. 
Such a split in the already volatile political climate in Iraq is not a needed need and threatens the stability of the neighboring region. Since Iraq's military victory over the terrorist organization, many countries have sought ways to invest in Iraq.
Both Saudi Arabia and Iran are seeking to attract Iraq economically through increased trade, investment promises and partnerships. As most countries in the region have sided with Iran or Saudi Arabia, paving the way for geopolitical tensions and armed conflicts, Iraq is ideally placed to act as a stabilizing force in the region by maintaining political ties with each other. 
After visiting Iraqi President Saleh to meet with his Iranian counterpart Rohani to discuss free trade borders, he was able to meet Saudi King Salman in Riyadh immediately, an achievement that only a few political leaders managed and such open relations with both countries could Help bridge the gap between the two regional rivals.
Iraq has been affected in the not-too-distant past by US sanctions in the wake of the 1991 Gulf War, and further threats of sanctions will only destroy a failed economy in a country that needs post-war reconstruction assistance. 
Limiting its ability to develop could threaten Iraq's fragile peace and Washington should consider keeping Iraq on the sanctions-free list or risking losing the last 15 years of its investment in Iraq to Iran.




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