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 Mnt Goat News Brief 6/25/18

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PostSubject: Mnt Goat News Brief 6/25/18   Mon Jun 25, 2018 7:23 pm

Hi Everyone,

I bring you much news today.

Here we sit just less than 1 week prior to the target date of June 30th for the formation of the newly elected Iraqi government. This could prove to be a pivotal week for us in that they must complete the recounting effort prior to July 1st . Based on everything else we are now hearing, as I present the news today to you, I am afraid to say this probably will not happen. Some Iraqi electoral commission representatives tell us it should take 3 days, others say 10 days and then others months. Who knows?

We will also explore today then more realistic window when we can maybe expect the votes from the may12th election to be validated and the new prime minister announced. As you probably already know when this happens we are at the best time to see the CBI go forward again with the “project to delete the zeros” and we head for the bank.

I do not have a crystal ball nor do I profess to know it all. All we can go on now is what they (Iraq) are telling us. Many of you are beginning to WORRY and get ANXIOUS to exchange your dinar at the banks. So, today’s news is also to enlighten you and assure you that this reinstatement of the dinar will occur and very shortly but not this week. We just have to be patient and let it all play out. I know, I know I have said this a hundred times already and so I am saying it again. Sorry….. ☹️

Do you want me to lie to you today to hype you up and tell you the RV is imminent? What would this lying really get you? Maybe a rush of hope and then a huge let down again? Why not just be honest and tell you the truth of what is really going on? So, this is now what I am going to do.

Pay Attention to today’s news!

More news….

The United Nations Special Representative for Iraq (UNAMI) Jan Kubic said Thursday that UNAMI is ready to assist the Electoral Commission in re-counting and manual counting, calling for the resolution of any disputes over the results of the elections by peaceful means.

More news….

TO EXTEND THEIR WORK IN THE CURRENT PARLIAMENTARY SESSION, WHICH ENDS CONSTITUTIONALLY ON JUNE 30

{Baghdad: Al-Furat News} The agency publishes the names of deputies signatories to extend their work in the current parliamentary session, which ends constitutionally on June 30.

Article (56) of the Constitution stipulates they can not do this. They can drag this on and on with more shenanigans to hold up the counting process or mess up the votes again. This is more tactics to stall the final verdict of getting the election results finalized. In my opinion this is a “soft’ coupe to try to remain in power. It is an over extension of their legal authority. Yet more chaos. Remember what I said about these Maliki goons? They need time and chaos or a crisis to stay in power…..go figure. But they know this is it for them and many of them are going to jail when this is finally over. Take a look at the list of 9 points agreed to by the two super blocs Sadr has put together (see list below). Does it look like they are going to let this corruption do unanswered any longer? Look at item #2 and #7 on the list. So, there are 2 out 9 of the items dealing with corruption and cleaning this up. So is this important for Sadr and his new government? (I also want to add that the USA too is in this same position. Soon you will see a more open “war on corruption” for the US government too brought on by president Trump). This corruption is ruining these countries and the cause of bringing them down. You can’t have prosperity and abundance when these forces of evil keep knocking you down.

So waiting longer for this Iraqi government to be formed of course is NOT good for us but it may all be constitutional. What will the courts rule on this new matter of extending parliament beyond June 30th ?

So here is the legal standing for allowing parliament to be extended beyond June 30th. Any questions?

Fourth Amendment Law to the Law of Elections of the House of Representatives No. (45) for the year 2013 clearly states in Article -1 – “The House of Representatives continues to work until the ratification of the Federal Supreme Court on the results of the elections”

This is not a time to WORRY but a time to crank up the PRAYERS. Praying does work. Let’s all try it? What have we got to lose?

Full article in the articles section below.

SO WHAT IS REALLY GOING ON IN THIS ELECTION SAGA?
Get read, you are going to luv this ongoing saga….lol..lol..lol.. You’re just gotta laugh over this ridiculousness of it all. Here is a country that is super wealthy yet, it can’t tie its oven shoes without help…Oh but they don’t need the help of the USA. Really? The Maliki charlatans just want to throw the US out of the country again like the Obama administration let they do in 2011? Not!

In the opinion of the Iraqi political analyst Mohamed Prism, the decision of the Iraqi Federal Court granted all the blocks enough time for consultation and negotiation. They are delaying the forming of the new government. This is the real culprit in stalling the election results. They know what is ahead for them.

He said, "The court decision brought us back to 7 pm on 12 May when the ballot boxes closed, so I think THE GOVERNMENT WILL NOT SEE THE LIGHT TWO MONTHS FROM NOW AT BEST, and this is enough time to establish new countries and not to form a government based on the consensus of political blocs shared a large number of important points.

He pointed out that the first of the government's programs must be to amend the constitution and adopt direct elections that allow the winner to form a government away from the complexities and philosophy of the mass and micro and items that were put to serve certain parties not to build a real state."

More news…

ON SATURDAY, THE START OF THE PROCEDURES FOR COUNTING

Baghdad today - follow-up The official of the branch of Erbil in the Electoral Commission for elections, Ali Qader, on Saturday, the start of the procedures for counting and sorting the hand of the Iraqi .parliamentary elections held on 12 May.

Manual counting and counting procedures were supposed to start on Saturday, June 23, 2018, only by the" staff of the UNHCR offices, but other people can also be assigned if necessary," (we know the counting did NOT end up starting on Saturday as originally planned and was delayed)

A source in the Electoral Commission, on Saturday, the date of the start of the mechanism of counting and sorting the hands of the vote, indicating that it will take place instead on Wednesday or Thursday next June 27th and 28th.

Then on Sunday out pops this article in Baghdad today - follow-up Al-Mada newspaper said in a report published Sunday that the counting and sorting process will be delayed until the beginning of next September, while the 9 judges are writing new instructions and regulations to implement and implement the third amendment law legislated .by parliament

The newspaper said that "the nine judges assigned by the Supreme Judicial Council to manage the electoral file, began to write new instructions and regulations consistent with the provisions and articles of the third amendment to the election law of the House of Representatives, and will determine instructions to be issued soon stations and centers .covered by counting and manual counting and the number of employees.

An Iraqi newspaper on Sunday morning pointed out that "the forecasts indicate that the process of counting and sorting and manual announcement of the results MAY BE DELAYED TO THE BEGINNING OF NEXT SEPTEMBER," asserting that "the process needs to rehabilitate the counting and sorting centers in the provinces and the contract with more than ten thousand employees for ".counting and manual sorting.

Then this pops out later in the Iraqi evening news on Sunday:

Baghdad today - Baghdad An informed source revealed on Sunday the date of the start of the partial counting and .counting of the results of the legislative elections held on 12 May The source said, in an exclusive interview (Baghdad today), "THE NEXT WEDNESDAY (JUNE 27, 2018), WILL BEGIN COUNTING AND MANUAL COUNTING OF THE RESULTS OF THE ELECTIONS and not in September, in the halls of Baghdad International Fair," pointing out that "the funds will be transferred from other " provinces to the capital During the next two days.

The High Electoral Commission, decided earlier in the day, Sunday, the return of the process of manual counting and counting of votes in the polling stations, which received complaints or official reports on suspicions of forgery only Political forces had previously argued that the countdown would include all polling stations in Iraq, but other forces that say they "do not exceed 1,800 polling stations" of only those suspected of fraud and manipulation.

So we see the electoral commission must have stepped in and talked to the judicial committee set up to supervise the recounting and adjusted the begin dates. Didn’t it seen weird that they would wait until September to even begin? I certainly hope they will stick to this new schedule and get it done!

Oh – but the way this new development only came after Arbil Prime Minister of Kurdistan Region, Nigervan Barzani, mwt with a military delegation headed by Joseph Fotill, commander of the Central Command of US forces. What did they talk about? They talked about concerns over waiting until September to begin the recounting and the file of the formation of the next Iraqi government, and the impact and role of the Kurds in this process.

So, go figure what really happened!

So that was the bad news. Here is some good news.

The source said that the counting and manual sorting WILL BE PARTIALLY AND ONLY TO THE STATIONS THAT RECEIVED COMPLAINTS, WHICH AMOUNTED TO ABOUT THREE THOUSAND STATIONS ONLY. (This is VERY good news and means they are only going to recount only the stations that had complaints filed that were suspected of voting fraud or manipulation, NOT the entire country.

This news is backed up by an article in today’s newsletter from the head of the movement of parliamentary will Hanan al-Fatlawi, on Thursday. See full article in articles section below.

The judges are supervising the work of the Commission, but office officials have not left their jobs. We are now seeing progress with the panel of 9 judges working through the details as to how they are going to recount so many votes, the personnel needed and the written procedures to perform this task.

More news….

Announced the leader of a coalition going to Moqtada al-Sadr alliance with the head of the block Nasser Haider Abadi; to form the next government.
In a joint press conference with Abadi held in Najaf on Saturday, Al-Sadr read the nine points agreed upon by the two blocs:

1. Calling for a trans-ethnic and ethnic alliance that includes all components of the Iraqi people.
2 - Continue to fight corruption and remove the corrupt from the positions of the state and the government and PROVIDE THOSE WHO PROVE THE FILES OF CORRUPTION TO THE IRAQI JUDICIARY.
3 - forming a government of technocrats of competencies away from narrow quotas.
4 - Support and strengthen the army and police and security forces and the inventory of weapons by the state.
5. DEVELOP A REFORM PROGRAM TO SUPPORT THE IRAQI ECONOMY in all sectors.
6. Maintain a balanced relationship with all countries to achieve Iraq's interests, sovereignty and independence.
7 - SUPPORT THE REFORM OF THE IRAQI JUSTICE SYSTEM AND ACTIVATE THE ROLE OF THE PROSECUTION.
8 - maintain the unity of Iraq and the land and people.
9. EMPHASIZE THE PEACEFUL TRANSFER OF POWER.

*************************************************************
Formal Articles are below. Due to FACEBOOK limitations they do not print my RED colored fonts or italics, so my comments are in brackets ( ) throughout the articles. I will preface my comments with “Mnt Goat” so you know I am jumping in with observations. Also, I separated the articles with asterisks.
*************************************************************
Articles Begin

MANUAL COUNTING DOES NOT INCLUDE ALL THE CENTERS AND STATIONS ONLY THE CENTERS CHALLENGED OR TO BE CHALLENGED !

June 21, 2018- [Ayna-Baghdad] The head of the movement of parliamentary will Hanan al-Fatlawi, on Thursday, a shocking surprise of the decision of the Federal Court. Al-Fatlawi on the health of social networking [Facebook] today said that "contrary to the story of the media and everyone that the decision of the court today included the approval of counting and manual counting altogether!!!”

She pointed out that "after reading the decision of the Federal Court carefully, specifically the last and last page of the resolution shows, IT DID NOT INCLUDE COUNTING AND MANUAL COUNTING OF ALL THE CENTERS AND STATIONS, BUT ONLY THE CENTERS CHALLENGED OR TO BE CHALLENGED !

It is noteworthy that the member of the Electoral Commission for elections Said Kakaee revealed in a press statement, the inclusion of all electoral stations in Iraq to the process of manual counting and sorting by the decision of the Federal Court on Thursday.

The Federal Court announced, on Thursday, the constitutionality of the decision of the House of Representatives in the Third Amendment to the Law of the elections of the Council of Representatives No. 45 of 2013 amended, and responses to the appeals filed.

*************************************************************

HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES PROPOSED LAW ON FRIDAY TO THE CONTINUATION OF THE WORK OF THE HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES UNTIL THE COMPLETION OF THE COUNTING PROCESS AND THE HAND COUNT OF THE ELECTION RESULTS

{Baghdad: Al-Furat News} The agency publishes the names of deputies signatories to extend their work in the current parliamentary session, which ends constitutionally on June 30.

The House of Representatives decision MP Niazi architecture Ihsanoglu announced in the special parliament session open , which was held on Friday, to submit a request signed by 60 deputies to the Presidency of the Council includes a proposed law to the continuation of the work of the House of Representatives until the completion of the counting process and the hand count of the election results. "

Finished parliament Today, the first reading of the proposed law of the fourth amendment to the law of the elections of the House of Representatives No. 45 of 2013 and submitted by the Legal Committee in view of the issuance of the Supreme Court decision yesterday to respond to appeals in the third amendment to the election law and to require the House of Representatives to take necessary to implement some of its paragraphs Which calls for the work of the House of Representatives and for the purpose of following up the implementation of the resolution and ensure the integrity of the process of counting and sorting.

The legal expert Jamal al-Asadi told the {Euphrates News}, "The House of Representatives is not allowed to extend its work, at all and that the constitutional text is clear and explicit.

"Article (56) of the Constitution stipulates: First: - The duration of the electoral cycle of the Council of Representatives shall be four calendar years, beginning with the first session, and ending at the end of the fourth year. Second: - The new Council of Representatives shall be elected 45 days before the end of the session Election campaign "

*************************************************************

COULD THE ACTIONS NOW BEING TAKEN BY PARLIAMENT TO EXTEND THE SESSIONS BEYOND JUNE 30TH LEGAL?

Baghdad: Al-Furat News) The Parliamentary Information Service published the Fourth Amendment Law to the Law of Elections of the House of Representatives No. (45) for the year 2013.

According to the text of the law: On behalf of the people, the Presidency of the Republic on the basis of the provisions of item {1} of Article {61} and Article (73) of Article (73) of the Constitution and Article (IV) of Article 122 of the Constitution.

Issuing the following law: No. {} for the year 2018
Law of the Fourth Amendment to the Law of the Iraqi Council of Representatives No. 45 of 2013, and provides:

Article -1 - The House of Representatives continues to work until the ratification of the Federal Supreme Court on the results of the elections held on 12/5/2018

Article 3: This Law shall be implemented from the date of voting thereon.
Positive reasons:

Due to the issuance of the decision of the Federal Supreme Court No. 99, 104 and 106 / Federal / Media / 2018) on 21/6/2018 and the judge to oblige the House of Representatives to take the necessary to implement some of its paragraphs, which requires the continuation of the work of the House of Representatives and for the purpose of following the implementation of the resolution and ensure the integrity of the process of counting and sorting, Law.

*************************************************************
THE START OF THE PROCEDURES FOR COUNTING

Baghdad today - follow-up The official of the branch of Erbil in the Electoral Commission for elections, Ali Qader, on Saturday, the start of the procedures for counting and sorting the hand of the Iraqi .parliamentary elections held on 12 May.

Manual counting and counting procedures started on Saturday, June 23, 2018, only by the" staff of the UNHCR offices, but other people can also be assigned if necessary," Qadur .quoted Kurdish as saying
The judges are supervising the work of the Commission, but office officials have not left" their jobs, and we are waiting for the decision of the higher authorities to resolve the " matter.

The House of Representatives decided, June 6, to assign judges to oversee the hand counting and counting, instead of the Council of the Electoral Commission, within the third amendment to the law of parliamentary elections, which was supported by the Federal Court and decided to form a committee of the Chief Prosecutor and the head of judicial supervision and judicial .supervisors Administered by UNHCR.
The JUDICIAL AUTHORITIES IN THE PROCESS OF RE-EXAMINING THE RESULTS OF THE ELECTIONS DID NOT SPECIFY THE LENGTH OF TIME IT WILL TAKE BEFORE ANNOUNCING THE FINAL AND FINAL RESULTS. However, experts say that this process MAY TAKE WEEKS, unless the regulations again challenge the results of the new results. It is noteworthy that the judiciary had asked the region to nominate 3 judges to take over the task of monitoring the process of counting and sorting the hand, like the rest of the provinces of the federal authority.

*************************************************************

THE FORMATION OF THE “SUPERBLOCK”

Sources: Baghdad will witness the meeting of blocks "Sadr, Amiri, Abadi, Maliki, Hakim" to discuss 3 files

Baghdad today - follow-up Al-Sabah newspaper semi-official said in a report published on Thursday that Baghdad will witness in the coming days a meeting between the blocs, the conquest, victory, a coalition of state law, and the stream of national wisdom, to discuss (3) files for the formation of the next government.

According to the sources said that "is scheduled to hold five blocks of a meeting in Baghdad ".to discuss three files, including the formation of the new government.

The blocs are all: the coalition," Surson "supported by the leader of the Sadrist movement" Moqtada al-Sadr, and the alliance" conquest "led by Hadi al-Ameri, and the coalition" victory "led by Prime Minister Haider Abadi, and a coalition of law led by Vice President Nuri al-Maliki, " ."Wisdom" headed by Ammar al-Hakim.

In the same context, revealed the newspaper "the new Arab", in a report published on Thursday, close to the arrival of the leader of the Sadrist movement Moqtada al-Sadr, to Baghdad, to attend a meeting of the hope to sign the blocks wishing to join the "national . "space" a "document of honor.

The newspaper quoted the Iraqi political sources in Baghdad, "Sadr will arrive in Baghdad again to attend a meeting with Shiite political leaders, to discuss a document of honor expected by the political blocs wishing to join the alliance, headed by Sadr and the opening ." headed by Hadi al-Amiri, Comprehensive government According to the sources, Sadr's upcoming visit will announce the features of the largest bloc of Baghdad.

*************************************************************

HOW LONG WILL IT TAKE TO FORM THE NEXT IRAQI GOVERNMENT?

Jun 22, 2018
Commentary by ALI HADI AL-MUSAWI

(please don’t shoot the Goat, I am just the messenger!)

Thursday’s ruling by the Federal Supreme Court to partially uphold parliament’s move to amend the electoral law has raised the specter of extended delays to the government formation process.

Just how long it will take before a new government is approved by parliament depends on several factors that will determine the ability of Iraq’s competing coalitions to achieve a series of crucial milestones in a timely manner.
While some are predicting THAT NEGOTIATIONS COULD DRAG ON INTO THE NEW YEAR, a realistic timeline should outline the key milestones that need to be achieved – as stipulated by the constitution – and the potential impediments along the way.

FIRST: The Federal Supreme Court must ratify the final election results after taking into consideration all the appeals. This process is particularly complicated this year because of widespread allegations of voter fraud and irregularities.

Parliament’s decision to dismiss the electoral commissioners and replace them with judges, in addition to amending the electoral law to force a full manual recount, means that five weeks after the elections, we are effectively back to square one.

SECOND: Once the results are ratified, the new parliament has 15 days to convene its first session, where it must elect the new Speaker and his/her two deputies. The next milestone involves electing the new President, who will then be tasked with calling on the largest bloc in parliament to designate its nominee for the premiership before submitting his/her cabinet for parliamentary approval. This entire process must take no longer than 90 days, as per the constitutional deadlines.

THIRD: Among the most critical aspects of the negotiations is determining the largest bloc in parliament. In terms of sequencing, it is theoretically possible for this to happen after the election of the new President, but in practical terms, it needs to be resolved before parliament convenes its first session so that the positions of Speaker and President can be agreed on as part of a broader deal among the competing coalitions.

FOURTH: The final piece to the puzzle requires the largest parliamentary bloc to agree on its nominee for prime minister, who will have 30 days to submit his/her cabinet to parliament for approval.

Having outlined the core components of the government formation process, it is necessary to look at which potential obstacles could cause extended delays to the process.

The first and most unpredictable aspect is HOW LONG IT WILL TAKE FOR THE NEWLY-APPOINTED JUDGES IN THE ELECTORAL COMMISSION TO COMPLETE THE MANUAL RECOUNT AND RESOLVE ALL ALLEGATIONS OF FRAUD AND IRREGULARITIES.

(Mnt Goat – this is what we are worried about the most)

Based on previous elections, it typically takes about four weeks to complete the manual count, but this year’s elections have been complicated by widespread allegations of fraud in the Sunni and Kurdish provinces, as well as in out-of-country voting. Additionally, the commission will need to account for an unknown number of ballot boxes that were destroyed in the warehouse fire in Baghdad earlier this month. Furthermore, if the recount yields a significantly different outcome to the electronic count, we could see further delays in the Supreme Court’s final verdict. JUST HOW LONG IT WILL TAKE FOR THE ELECTORAL COMMISSION TO COMPLETE ITS WORK IS ANYONE’S GUESS AT THE MOMENT, BUT EVEN AN OPTIMISTIC OUTLOOK WOULD SUGGEST THAT FINAL RESULTS WILL NOT BE DECLARED BEFORE THE END OF JULY.

The second major challenge is for the rival political coalitions to agree on an alliance that will be designated as the biggest parliamentary bloc. Initial efforts by Moqtada Al-Sadr’s Sa’iroon coalition to form a majoritarian government with Hikma, Nasr and Wataniya eventually ran out of steam, leading Sadr to announce a de facto alliance with his arch-rival Hadi Al-Ameri and the Fateh coalition. Given the current trajectory, THE MOST LIKELY OUTCOME APPEARS TO BE AN ALLIANCE BETWEEN THE FIVE LARGEST ELECTION COALITIONS, NAMELY SA’IROON, FATEH, NASR, STATE OF LAW AND HIKMA. Although both Sa’iroon and Nasr are reticent about allying with State of Law, IT IS UNLIKELY THAT NOURI AL-MALIKI WILL BE LEFT OUT OF A GRAND COALITION in some way.

Integral to the formation of this potential alliance will be the negotiations over who will be nominated to lead the next government. While Prime Minister Haider Al-Abadi continues to be the frontrunner, it is still possible for an alternative candidate to emerge, particularly given the fact that State of Law, and to lesser degrees Fateh and Hikma, will be keen to prevent Al-Abadi from securing a second term. Nevertheless, of the five competing coalitions, Nasr’s chances of securing the premiership appear to be strongest by virtue of its acceptability both domestically and internationally.

Given the dynamics outlined above, is it possible to predict how long it will take to form the next government? A new government could be voted into office by November, assuming that the Supreme Court ratifies the results around the beginning of August. There would also be added pressure for Iraq’s political elite to arrive at a grand bargain before the end of the year, given the country’s commitments to international financiers and donors, namely the imperative to pass a 2019 federal budget in a timely manner.

WHILE THE CURRENT GOVERNMENT CAN CONTINUE TO FUNCTION RELATIVELY UNINHIBITED OVER THE SUMMER, the monumental task of rebuilding and reforming the country requires political stability that can only be attained through a comprehensive agenda that enjoys the backing of a newly elected parliament.

*************************************************************

Articles End

Their words not mine…..No Rumors, No Hype, No Opinions ,,,,,
Just the FACTS!

Disclaimer: All information in this newsletter is not intended for investment decisions / purposes. Mnt Goat is not a financial analyst, planner, banker, attorney or associated in any role with giving out professional investment advice.

In ending I want everyone to know your constant prayers in the fight against evil (ISIS) in Iraq have worked. God has guided these young men and women on the battle field. Let us all now know that there is a new battle now to fight. A battle to save our homelands from the corrupt politicians who are bent on taking what they want from our current wealth and from future generations without our permission. We must keep praying for the end to the rapid corruption in Iraq and in the United States. We must pray for our leaders when they are being guided by the Holy Spirit. We must stand by them and let them know we are still there to support them, even after the election is over. I have composed a prayer maybe we can all pray today in our own way and until the revaluation of the Iraq dinar occurs.

PRAYER

“For the Iraqi Prime Minister and the President of the United States, that all their cabinet members, and deputies may be anointed by the Holy Spirit to do God’s will and bring the free democracies of the Republic of Iraq and the United States of America to the much-deserved prosperity and abundance thru justice and freedom from oppression and corruption. That they may be a shining example for the rest of the middle east and to rest of the world to follow.

In the name of Jesus Christ our King and Savior, Amen”

Auf Wiedersehen
Much love to ya all,
Mnt Goat

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PostSubject: Re: Mnt Goat News Brief 6/25/18   Mon Jun 25, 2018 10:43 pm

Obviously Goat's idea of brief and mine are two different things.

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"Rejoice always, pray without ceasing, in everything give thanks; for this is the will of God in Christ Jesus for you."1 Thessalonians 5:14–18

       
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PostSubject: Re: Mnt Goat News Brief 6/25/18   Tue Jun 26, 2018 9:54 am

I think he/she found their 'briefs' in a mine...... couch
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