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 2017: Year of the international system to measure trends

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Posts : 12096
Join date : 2015-02-19

PostSubject: 2017: Year of the international system to measure trends   Sun Jan 01, 2017 12:15 pm

2017: Year of the international system to measure trends

January 1, 2017

Involving Page 2016 with all that has happened in the geopolitical shifts and worsening conflicts and cracking of globalization and the rise of populist, to welcome 2017, which does not seem that it would be better, because they will be affected by the repercussions and implications tremors previous years in the field of international relations.

2017 is likely to be a transitional year if his two transfer for guiding compass evolution of the international system in the era of strategic instability and determine the path towards the attraction between especially on the economic level between Washington and Beijing, the mighty, and the prospects for the Russian penetration as well as for the site of the European Union after Albraikst upcoming elections in France and Germany, or to the point of "birth pangs" destructive chaos in the Middle East re-installation.

Picture does not look bright in this new era of international relations between Putinism seeking to entrench, coming noisily and Turambah, Chinese dragons insatiable, and Europe's aging and neo-authoritarians and cohort nostalgia for empire and the users of the religious dimension and mythology and anti-globalization protestors and supporters of estrangement between cultures and peoples.

In parallel the achievements of digital technology in our village cosmic Rthein, history is pulling us backwards and a century ago after the fall of the first capitalist globalization that led to the Great War in 1914. In our era this with the growing social inequalities and declining freedoms and the rise of populist similar conditions to those that led to the outbreak of the revolution red Bolshevik in 1917. of course, the same scenario will not be repeated but we are on the stage of the threshold requiring new programming patterns of thinking and Mqhrbna.

With withdrawals from the International Criminal Court, and to resort to brutal force (inhalers War Card Russia's return to the big club) and the spread of terrorism and its uses, end stage "Western" character in terms of international relations linking common rules for so-called international community. And now it is emerging on the surface decomposition of all the factors linked to morality and humanitarian considerations, and give priority to the sovereignty of states at the expense of the power of international law and multilateral diplomatic work.

This apostasy against the limited gains of the international system is glitter Putinism not only in terms of military achievement on the Syrian arena, but also in terms of the rise of populist leaders or right-wing close to Moscow in Europe, if ratified Washington's accusations about the practice of Putin's team-mail to interfere in American elections, it means that the electronic warfare which rotates behind the screens are preliminary battles or strength tests in the context of new types of confrontations to decide the fate Almmiskin the reins of the world in the coming decades.

So it would be Donald Trump's arrival to the White House a landmark in this context and direction under the title of "America First" gives a clear signal to the return of nationalist rhetoric and the sovereign at the expense of globalization and international cooperation.

One oddity policy and the evolution of the economy that the Chinese communist empire become more eager to globalization of the United States created by and led Qtarha. Here are the biggest test to determine the direction of the compass the world in terms of Trump's management decisions and reactions China did it is therefore also focus China's interest to further reap the gains and nibbling on the new Silk Road, will be focused Washington's attention on the South China Sea, the Chinese and the game in Asia and the Pacific.

However, this focus on Asia remote does not mean a lack of interest in western Asia and what is happening in the broader Middle East. Here, everyone will wait for the positions of Trump Management from Iran, Saudi Arabia, Turkey and handed over the rise of the Russian role in the eastern Mediterranean.

2017 does not constitute an open book because it carries with it the mysteries and surprises of the consequences of the strong dollar, which will be Trump's management, to the crude oil market conditions and their impact. And on the waiting list for the election results in France, Iran, Germany, the Netherlands, Nigeria, and the skyline beyond the setbacks Daesh from Mosul to Syria, as well as the evolution of the Kurdish issue and inter economic risks in more than one place.

Some rush to declare the political absence of the Arabs on the reading light in 2016. The sharp turns that applies more or less at the Arab regional system, which did not rise practicable after the knockout he suffered after the fall of Baghdad in 2003 and the rise of other regional powers on his account (as we have seen

With the Moscow Declaration on Syria on December 20, 2016). But it shifts deep in more than one place in the Arab world since the year 2010, despite the chaos of destruction and terrorism, regional and international attacks and the wars that ravage more than one country, demonstrate that the underlying strength of the Arab youth eligible for the correct paths to earn bets according to the renaissance project would not hand over any occupation soon or remote.

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