The absence of US aircraft carriers "for the first time" for the Gulf rulers ..iqlq

Aircraft carriers to symbolize American diplomacy at a time gives the image of hard power and ability.

US naval officer wrote Ryan Taoal at the site of the Washington Institute: for the first time since 2007, will not be a United States aircraft carrier in the Arabian Gulf region, the absence of which would be spread over a few months during the next year.

It is scheduled to sail close to the aircraft, "USS Theodore Roosevelt", which is currently strike targets organizing Daash in Iraq and Syria support for carrier operation «fully determined», returning to her home after the completion of a long process spread, and the aircraft "carrier USS Harry Truman "will not reach the area before the early winter. And despite the fact that the Middle East is rarely enjoy the calm, but it is hard to imagine a time more mysterious than the current time, if taking into account the complex circle of conflict in Syria - the Russian intervention -, Iraq, Libya and Yemen, as well as concerns about the determination of States United in the wake of the nuclear deal with Iran. That begs the question: Why this time?

Through the recommendation to bring the US National Asset cross-seas, the US Navy want to advertise mainly on the strength of declining readiness Bhamlat aircraft.

While the presence of US military forces and other allies in the region partly ease the so-called the gap in the absence of an aircraft carrier, it should be the case as an alert to the decision-makers in the United States on the need to carefully consider the strategic value of the presence of a US aircraft carrier in the Gulf, any tool diplomacy to provide stability and reassure allies and deter threats and strikes, without the consent of the partners or regional allies if necessary.

Despite the obvious risks, the absence of aircraft from the Middle East carrier at this time would be allowed to recover from years of excessive expansion, and will take advantage of lower nuclear tensions risk of a near-term output deal with Iran, and will result in a stronger presence of an aircraft carrier in the coming years, when it may have a greater strategic value.

Why the gap?

While some may consider that aircraft "USS Theodore Roosevelt" carrier return to her home as a subtle signal to the Iranian leadership aimed at building bilateral mutual trust of the parties in the wake of the nuclear deal, or else as evidence of US intentions remove itself gradually from the Middle East, but the There is much simpler highlights to exist reason that: should the current naval force consisting of ten aircraft carriers that are subject to maintenance after it is used extensively in recent years.

In fact, this was the American national assets may periodically left early to carry out the deployment and then extended her stay to participate in the important goal of highlighting force against opponents missions, and that have made international exercises with partner countries, and to ensure access to the sea, as well as on the implementation of operations humanitarian assistance and disaster relief in Japan, Nepal, Haiti and the Philippines. For example, strikes is required on land targets for extremists in the Mediterranean region and the Middle East and Southwest Asia in the period between 2010 and 2013, the presence of Emtemrkzatan aircraft carriers in the region.

As a result, while the average spread of aircraft carriers of the fiscal year 2008/2009 to 2011/2012 fiscal year six and a half months only, the average spread since 8.2 months. All of these extensions of emergency has reduced the time available for maintenance of the vector and the training of sailors who number more than six thousand people and make up aircraft carriers and support vessels crews. Unfortunately, now it highlights the need for more expensive and longer duration of maintenance due to the lengthy ships outside of the United States of residence.

To maintain the operational capability of the aircraft carrier known as standing for half a century, it is essential for the maintenance period after an extended process of spread to continue for about four months. These include periods, as well as many other things, the flight deck preparation in aircraft carrier with a length of thousand feet again, and replace the miles of electrical wiring and fiber-optic and repair of electric generators, and raise the level of computer equipment and software to control and control outdated, and, of course the case, remove the rust that accumulates on each naval vessel.

Therefore, in the wake of the deployments that have come after each other in 2012 and 2013, left the aircraft "USS Dwight D. Eisenhower" carrier one of the ports of America on August 28 after the maintenance period of twenty-three months, or nearly 65 per cent longer than its planned duration. And further complicating matters is the age of Budget Control Act (ie retention or reduce expenses), which led to delay maintenance "Eisenhower" and other vessels efforts. Such a delay in maintenance domino effect - inevitably - to the deployment of the remaining vessels carriers.

All these delays Navy was forced to make tough choices. Due to increasing the length of deployments and maintenance, it has been reduced training period that precedes deployments by more than 70 per cent, according to the "head of the Air Force of the Navy," Admiral Mike Shoemaker. This is the minimum necessary for workers in the aircraft carrier strike group to the conduct of ships and aircraft safely and effectively.

Taking these variables into account, the US Navy has developed a timetable begins to increase the availability of aircraft carriers at a later date of 2016. Recall that are being built aircraft "USS Gerald Ford," which is the eleventh in the number of pregnant carrier, and will improve situation to a large extent at the start of its work in 2019. In view of these developments, should the US Navy be able to achieve its long-term potential in the acquisition of carriers Mentchertan aircraft continuously, and three other carriers are willing to move around the world by the year 2020 / almost 2021.

If the US Navy adopted again methodology "dressing" by expanding the mission aircraft "Roosevelt" carrier for two months, will lead only to the postponement of most maintenance needs are necessary, which increases the disabled schedule and reduces the predictability and availability of the power of aircraft carriers in future.

Regional impact of an aircraft carrier

It will compensate for the absence of attack aircraft "44 F / A - 18 Hornet" aircraft of the "Roosevelt" carrier in the autumn through a variety of other assets capable of attacking the organization Daash. The French aircraft carrier "Charles de Gaulle", which hit the targets Daash in the spring of this year before conducting maneuvers in the Indian Ocean, you will have another chance soon. These French warship smaller carrying a dozen aircraft of the type "Rafale" and nine aircraft of the type "Super Atendard". This aircraft has a high capacity but constitute only half the number of attack aircraft available on the US aircraft carrier.

In addition, the "American group Amphibious Ready" will be in the region as well, and includes three warships amphibious led by small aircraft "USS Essex" carrier, and complemented by six fighter jets of the type "er a Proxy - 8 B Harriers", and a dozen helicopters of attack and support aircraft, and four aircraft of the type "M -22 Oosberaz a Proxy", and 1100 of the United States Marine Corps of "unity poll of fifteen of the Marines."

Finally, the unmanned combat air force planes wild ones and those drones, including six "F-16 aircraft," recently published in the "Incirlik" air base in Turkey, and will continue to patrol / reconnaissance aircraft of the Navy deployed in the region. In terms of the initial combat power against Tntam Daash, these assets adequately fill the loss in capacity resulting from the departure of the aircraft "Roosevelt" carrier, as support for the air strikes process «full torque» will continue non-stop.

But the impact of the strike aircraft carrier group in the Middle East has split myself and political as well: it serves as a diplomatic tool to deter Iran, and to reassure US allies in the region about Washington's commitment to, and provide space for US President for decision-making during emergencies in the region.

Vhamlat aircraft to symbolize American diplomacy at a time gives the image of hard power and ability. While the aircraft can strike targets effectively at night as in the day, it can also convey strong messages quickly and without the use of force.

It must be noted that it is difficult not to see the aircraft carriers, unlike the secret platforms or long-term, calling them other American weapons to the same degree of ability (such as launchers, "P-2" missiles "cruise" submarine-launched).

Earlier this year, he sailed aircraft "Roosevelt" carrier in the Arabian Sea in order to stop a merchant ship was escorted by several warships of the Iranian Revolutionary Guard, allegedly carrying weapons to Ansar Allah in Yemen.

The mere presence of the aircraft carrier had to pay the Iranian fleet to turn around and go back to one of the ports. It could be argued that the absence of an aircraft carrier in the region could encourage Iran to deepen its involvement in regional conflicts involving now. Similarly, if it might encourage Russia to intensify its efforts to support the Assad regime and gain influence in the region.

In addition, and perhaps most importantly in this matter, that the aircraft carrier strike group to provide reassurance regional allies who are skeptical about the intentions of Washington.

Re aircraft carrier to the United States in the wake of the Iranian nuclear deal, the US withdrawal from Iraq, and the decision not to Syrian opposition support more strongly, are all factors that may lead to a growing aggravation of anxiety among regional allies from the fact that the United States carried out "rebalancing to Asia" plan promoted by her long ago, fueling fears of a US withdrawal from the Middle East a wider scale.

Finally, while the existence of a French aircraft carrier and the use of Turkish air base provide a large fighting force, but they Christdan at the same time for decision-making available to the US President with respect to Bhamlh US aircraft space.

According to the US Navy to the Minister Ray Mabus "Navy demonstrated the importance of the ability of [aircraft] carrier when only strikes - came over a fifty-four days of the early days of the air campaign against militants organize Daash in Iraq and Syria - of fighters« F / A - 18 Hornet »of on board the aircraft «USS George W. Bush» carrier in the Arabian Gulf. was not able to fighters on the ground of participation only after it agreed host countries. "

There is no doubt that a decision to use force in the Middle East is difficult enough without additional coordination with allies, however was friendly. For example, if efforts to mitigate the risk of conflict in the airspace with Russian aircraft in Syria failed, it will be the options available to the US President to keep Moscow much more limited without the presence of the aircraft carrier strike group.

The implications of the nuclear agreement

Iran's nuclear agreement is one of the main considerations that affect the current stability in the region. Since it will not be the lifting of sanctions that «the International Atomic Energy Agency» achieved its main nuclear work, Iran has an incentive to act positioned well, at least until the spring or next summer, when they become able to access international markets and billions of dollars in frozen assets , which is long overdue. Through this perspective, the nuclear deal provides an opportunity which may exhibit the absence of aircraft carrier less risk. If the agreement Iran ago, as many expect, it is likely to happen after Tehran to reap the economic benefits promised from the deal. And then the aircraft carrier will probably have returned to the region, it will be available in front of the US president better options to deter destabilizing activities and response.

The United States should take advantage of the temporary absence of an aircraft carrier to drop its emphasis on maneuverability rather than just focus on the presence and hard. It also should be informed of all the allies and potential adversaries such change. If the aircraft carrier always stayed in the same place, you will not be able to rely on the concept of maneuver, which is a major advantage compared to other types of show of power and contribute to its survival. In addition, the unpredictability of the complexity of the diplomatic and military rivals in the decision-making accounts. This is even more important when dealing with competitors who have the capacity to deny and block access, such as radar beyond the horizon and advanced anti-ship missiles. Similarly, the aircraft carrier's commitment to support allies of the United States is more encouraging of their continued existence, providing reassurance that take into decline with the passage of time. If what you say about the Marine presence "in the right place at the right time" is correct, the building operational for sending aircraft carriers should be based on the principle of maneuver.

As the aircraft carriers is a very flexible strategy assets, there is never a good time to take it out of Group Commander in Chief of the Armed Forces options. It is certainly striking that the presence of the aircraft carrier in the Middle East group, at this particular time, it will be without doubt a favorite due to its value in terms of deterrence, tranquility and space to make decisions. However, the availability of an aircraft carrier in the future will continue to decline, but if you find the ability to maintain strength and revitalization. Specifically, as the aircraft carriers are particularly important tools for the value of the national authority, decision-makers must resist the temptation to give orders about to extend the process further spread. They have to take advantage of low-risk temporarily provided by the nuclear deal with Iran to set up the largest fleet of aircraft carriers to future threats that.

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